Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.185054 0.217864 0.254509 0.298433 0.349614 0.407334 0.477336
2025-09-28 0.134634 0.176443 0.228059 0.296310 0.384031 0.492826 0.637848
2025-10-05 0.112479 0.159577 0.222177 0.311126 0.433904 0.597011 0.829718
2025-10-12 0.098920 0.149792 0.221617 0.329841 0.488121 0.710378 1.045276
2025-10-19 0.086313 0.138396 0.215923 0.338868 0.527942 0.806474 1.246388
2025-10-26 0.074543 0.125901 0.206104 0.339307 0.553630 0.883224 1.426153
2025-11-02 0.063003 0.111705 0.191231 0.329105 0.560422 0.930539 1.564281
2025-11-09 0.052683 0.097796 0.174630 0.313326 0.555331 0.957168 1.670506
2025-11-16 0.046742 0.090512 0.167999 0.313143 0.575638 1.026454 1.853412
2025-11-23 0.040508 0.081712 0.157431 0.304408 0.579520 1.067518 1.991172
2025-11-30 0.037124 0.077770 0.155079 0.310141 0.609697 1.157006 2.222999
2025-12-07 0.033542 0.072893 0.150280 0.310499 0.629596 1.229446 2.430360
2025-12-14 0.029521 0.066775 0.142746 0.305548 0.640666 1.290319 2.630099
2025-12-21 0.026274 0.061826 0.136971 0.303547 0.657712 1.365268 2.867340
2025-12-28 0.024943 0.060864 0.139325 0.318728 0.711604 1.518309 3.276562
2026-01-04 0.024025 0.060691 0.143317 0.337884 0.776059 1.699389 3.762441
2026-01-11 0.022435 0.058666 0.142894 0.347123 0.820004 1.842351 4.183421
2026-01-18 0.020425 0.055286 0.138884 0.347572 0.844285 1.945788 4.530134
2026-01-25 0.017996 0.050444 0.130732 0.337131 0.842209 1.991203 4.753406
2026-02-01 0.015563 0.045181 0.120801 0.320980 0.824560 1.999567 4.893387
2026-02-08 0.014238 0.042690 0.117461 0.320793 0.845418 2.098248 5.252560
2026-02-15 0.012653 0.039204 0.111054 0.311852 0.843383 2.142785 5.487965
2026-02-22 0.011876 0.037921 0.110312 0.317720 0.879693 2.283046 5.969472